21.10.10
Regional Change How will the rise of India and China shape Afghanistan’s stabilization process?
NUPI-rapport | Oslo, Norsk Utenrikspolitisk Institutt (NUPI) | 48 sider
Rapporten drøfter hvordan den regionale utviklingen i Sentral-Asia kan påvirke stabilitenten i Afghanistan når de internasjonale styrkene trekker seg ut, med en særlig vekt på India og Kinas rolle i regionen.
>> Summary
The report examines how regional developments in Central/South Asia may affect the prospects for stabilization in Afghanistan. Given that the regional security dynamics played an important role in aggravating the conflict in Afghanistan in the 1990s, the report juxtaposes the situation in the 1990s with the present state of affairs and aims to assess the potential regional impact. The findings indicate that the region, still marked by inter-regional rivalry and security concerns, has nevertheless undergone substantial changes, most notably shaped by the rise of China and India, as well as by increasing regional cooperation in trade, transport and energy, which adds a nascent yet significant liberal element to regional affairs. As such, the regional environment seems less prone to exacerbate the internal security dynamics of Afghanistan than was the case in the 1990s. The report also maps regional alliances and rivalries, examines the ambiguous role of Iran and provides an overview of the relations between Afghanistan and Central Asian states.
Fulltekst
|
Hele publikasjonslisten
