20.12.07 From Alamogordo to Reliable Replacement Warheads
NUPI-notat 726 | 15 sider.
Ikke-spredningsregimets framtid avhenger av USAs vilje til å utøve lederskap i nedrustnings- så vel som ikke-spredningssammenheng, og av partenes evne til å ta tilbørlig hensyn til Asias raskt økende betydning.
>> Summary
The paper discusses three important legacies that the first nuclear age, that of the Cold War, left behind: (1) the recurrent attempts at threat inflation and the corresponding politics of fear; (2) enormous stocks of poorly protected weapons and fissile materials; and (3) a vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. It goes on to explain the characteristics of the second nuclear age, a notion that Paul Bracken introduced after the testing in South Asia in 1998. Finally, it discusses two basic conditions for the international non-proliferation regime to function effectively: leadership and compatibility with the distribution of power in the international system. The latter is primarily about the rise of Asia in international affairs.
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