‘Risk’ is a general term used to describe the probability of an event occurring, and the consequences of this.
Our times are characterized by major power shifts – in geopolitics and well as economics. The established international order is changing, with its centre of gravity on the verge of shifting. From earlier eras we know that such power shifts can lead to new constellations of cooperation, but also to tensions. The probability of conflict and instability can increase. Norway is a country with an open economy, and international relations are a central feature in our societal development. Norwegian authorities and firms are investing heavily abroad; moreover, the country’s demography is undergoing rapid change, and Norway is pursuing an ever-more comprehensive foreign policy engagement. Apace with this growing internationalization, Norway and Norwegian society become increasingly exposed to geopolitical changes in the rest of the world. The consequences of international shifts and events can be greater than in earlier times. That in turn brings a heightened need to strengthen our understanding of political and geopolitical risks.
Among the themes of risk research at NUPI:
- How to understand the risk picture better, through deeper knowledge of the connections between international developments and the consequences for Norway.
- How political risks influence the content and organization of Norwegian foreign policy.
- How to reduce risk in Norway, among other things by averting the possible negative consequences of undesirable actions and events.
News about political risk
6 Jan 2016
How will China's current foreign relations be affected as the country becomes more comfortable with its great power status? This is one of the questions Senior Research Fellow at NUPI, Marc Lanteigne, asks in the book Chinese Foreign Policy: An Introduction, which was released...
16 Jan 2014
In a seminar at NUPI last week, Thomas X. Hammes discussed how the convergence of political, economic, social and technical trends is changing the character of warfare and explained how the U.S. government is responding to this security challenge.
Publications about political riskAll publications about political risk (total 11)
Research projects about political risk
2016 - 2017 (Ongoing)
The project examines the geopolitical consequences of a large-scale transition to renewable energy, both in terms of the fading of old energy and geopolitical patterns and systems and the emergence of...
2015 - 2016 (Ongoing)
What roles can the Nordic countries play in China’s emerging European engagement?
2014 - 2016 (Ongoing)
The project "Developments in the Russian Far East" looks at Russian decision-making and international engagement around development of Russia’s Pacific coast.