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Vitenskapelig artikkel

Russian nuclear energy diplomacy and its implications for energy security in the context of the war in Ukraine

Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the possibility of reducing Europe’s energy dependence on Russian resources has been hotly debated. The fossil fuel industries received most attention as European Union leaders first introduced gradual sanctions on Russian coal and later on oil and gas, while Russia responded with supply cuts. However, Russia’s role as a major player in the global nuclear power sector has remained largely below the sanctions radar, despite dependencies on Russian nuclear technology, uranium supplies and handling of spent nuclear fuel. Here we analyse the state nuclear company Rosatom and its subsidiaries as tools of Russian energy statecraft. We map the company’s global portfolio, then categorize countries where Russia is active according to the degree and intensity of dependence. We offer a taxonomy of long-term energy dependencies, highlighting specific security risks associated with each of them. We conclude that the war and Russia’s actions in the energy sector will undermine Rosatom’s position in Europe and damage its reputation as a reliable supplier, but its global standing may remain strong.

  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Konflikt
  • Energi
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  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Konflikt
  • Energi
Arrangement
10:00 - 12:00 Europe/Oslo
Litteraturhuset, Wergelandsalen
Norsk
270323-ny-norge-afrika-strategi.png
Arrangement
10:00 - 12:00 Europe/Oslo
Litteraturhuset, Wergelandsalen
Norsk
27. mar. 2023
Arrangement
10:00 - 12:00 Europe/Oslo
Litteraturhuset, Wergelandsalen
Norsk

Innspillsmøte om ny norsk Afrika-strategi

Regjeringen starter nå arbeidet med utviklingen av en ny norsk Afrika-strategi, og ønsker innspill fra aktører som er engasjert i Afrika. Utenriksdepartementet i samarbeid med Norsk Utenrikspolitisk Institutt (NUPI) inviterer til et åpent innspillsmøte, der representanter for regjeringen, relevante institusjoner og nærings- og organisasjonsliv deltar.

Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel
Kjetil Selvik, Øystein H. Rolandsen

Disposable rebels: US military assistance to insurgents in the Syrian war

During the Syrian War, the US and other Western countries trained, equipped and paid Syrian rebels to fight the government and, later, root out the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). When states use armed groups to attain foreign policy objectives, control is a key concern. The US sought to enforce such control over providers and recipients of lethal military assistance in the period from 2013–18. We investigate the parallel CIA and Department of Defence assistance programmes . We challenge theoretical assumptions related to the application of the principal-agent model to explain the dynamics of foreign assistance to rebels. We argue that, in the US strategy to control rebels, co-ordinating the providers and dividing the recipients of security assistance were essential conditions. Meanwhile, the delays in recruitment, the limitations on the number of soldiers trained, the short supply of weapons and the strict regulation of the actions carried out by the rebels all reduced the efficacy of the assistance. This way of instrumentalising security assistance helped the US and its Western allies to crush ISIL while avoiding a collapse in Damascus. However, this happened at the expense of rebel cohesion, autonomy, and legitimacy.

  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
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  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner

Iran – revolusjon igjen?

Ei ung kvinnes død etter å ha blitt arrestert av moralpolitiet utløyste dei sterkaste protestane i Iran sidan revolusjonen i 1979. Den islamske republikken er tilbake der han starta.

  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
Screenshot 2023-03-03 at 10.02.31.png
  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

'The generation that will inherit Syria’: education as citizen aid and political opportunity

Grassroots initiatives to provide education were an integral part of efforts to stem the humanitarian disaster unleashed by the armed conflict in Syria. This article studies activists who organised informal schooling for children amid the devastating war. Building on life story interviews, we highlight the versatility of initiatives in the field of education for citizens who simultaneously engage in humanitarian action and mobilise for political change. There is a natural concern to detach humanitarian work from politics in order to gain and maintain a space for action. This has distanced the study of humanitarian aid from social movements research, which focuses on long-term struggles over power and political structures. We maintain, however, that the social movement literature generally, and studies on structural and cognitive political opportunity specifically, can help refine our understanding of the illusive nature of citizen aid. Our findings indicate that Syrians involved in humanitarian educational activities constructed their own structure of opportunities by monitoring shifting political and humanitarian conditions. Opening schools was a technical and pragmatic solution to the educational disaster caused by war. At the same time, it was motivated by a long lasting desire to free Syria from its political plight and to offer an alternative.

  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
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  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Bok
Kjetil Selvik, Jacob Høigilt

Journalism in the Grey Zone: Pluralism and Media Capture in Lebanon and Tunisia

Lebanon and Tunisia are two of the freest countries in the Middle East and North Africa, but elites in both countries seek to manipulate media organisations and individual journalists to shore up support for themselves and attack opponents. This book explores the political role of journalism in these hybrid settings where democratic and authoritarian practices coexist – a growing trend all over the world. Through interviews with journalists in different positions and analyses of key events in recent years, Journalism in the Grey Zone explains the tensions that media instrumentalisation creates in the news media and how journalists navigate conflicting pressures from powerholders and a marginalised populace. Despite ‘capture’ of the media by political and economic actors, journalism remains a powerful and occasionally disruptive force.

  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
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  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
Aktuelt
Ny forskning
Aktuelt
Ny forskning

Ad hoc-koalisjoner skal løse stadig flere kriser

  • Diplomati og utenrikspolitikk
  • Fredsoperasjoner
  • Global styring
  • Styring
  • Internasjonale organisasjoner
  • FN
  • AU
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner

Assessing the Effectiveness of the Multinational Joint Task Force

The overall assessment is that the MNJTF is, to a degree, effectively attaining its mandate priorities. As a result of the efforts of the MNJTF there is a decline in the number of terrorist attacks and fatalities in the region.

  • Afrika
  • Fredsoperasjoner
Screenshot 2023-03-07 at 11.16.07.png
  • Afrika
  • Fredsoperasjoner
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

NATO and the Invasion, One Year On

Next year will mark 75 years since NATO was founded in 1949. The Atlantic alliance has faced many challenges over seven decades, but Russia’s war of conquest in Ukraine might be its biggest test yet.

  • Forsvar
  • NATO
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
Screenshot 2023-02-24 at 13.12.48.png
  • Forsvar
  • NATO
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
Hvor hender det?
Hva er viktig for hvordan krigen utvikler seg?
  • Defence
  • Cyber
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
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