China's future is arguably the most consequential question in global affairs. Having enjoyed unprecedented levels of growth, China is at a critical juncture in the development of its economy, society, polity, national security, and international relations. The direction the nation takes at this turning point will determine whether it stalls or continues to develop and prosper. Will China be successful in implementing a new wave of transformational reforms that could last decades and make it the world's leading superpower? Or will its leaders shy away from the drastic changes required because the regime's power is at risk? If so, will that lead to prolonged stagnation or even regime collapse? Might China move down a more liberal or even democratic path? Or will China instead emerge as a hard, authoritarian and aggressive superstate?
In this new book and his lecture at NUPI, Professor David Shambaugh will explore these potential pathways to China's future, as well as the many complexities in China today.
David Shambaugh, China's Future, Polity Press, 2016
David Shambaugh is Professor of Political Science & International Affairs at George Washington University in Washington, DC. An authority on contemporary China and the international relations of Asia, Professor Shambaugh is a frequent commentator in the international media, advisor to the US Government, and member of many scholarly and professional organizations.