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The votes that can shape European security


2024 will be an important election year on both sides of the Atlantic.

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are yet again battling each other in this years presidential race. Whatever outfall, we know it will have implications for Northern European security, in quite different ways. Biden has an understanding of the importance of NATO in Europe, however with a rising China, will US resources continue to shift towards the Indo-Pacific? Will a second Trump administration be as critical and skeptic towards its commitment to European countries and NATO? Either way, it looks like Europe needs to be ready to take further responsibility for their own security.

UKs General Election will be taking place in July this year. Polls are showing that a political change may be on the steps, and that Labour is likely to become the new governing party. What will this mean for European security? How well would Labour’s Keir Starmer cooperate with Trump on matters of security and defence?

In this episode of the NUPI podcast The World Stage, we take a closer look at which implications the UK and US elections will have on Northern European security.

Here, you will hear from Max Bergmann, Director of the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program and the Stuart Center in Euro-Atlantic and Northern European Studies at CSIS, Neil Melvin, Director of International Security at the Royal United Services Institute and NUPI Research Professor Karsten Friis. 

The conversation is hosted by NUPI Junior Research Fellow Gine R. Bolling.

The conversation is based on the report US and UK Elections: Implications for NATO and Northern European Security written by Max Bergmann, Karsten Friis and Ed Arnold, who is a Senior Research Fellow for European Security within the International Security department at RUSI.

This report is published as a part of the trilateral CSIS/RUSI/NUPI research cooperation on transatlantic security, funded by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.


Max Bergmann
Director, Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program and Stuart Center
Karsten Friis
Research Professor
Neil Melvin
Director, International Security