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Researcher

Cedric H. de Coning

Research Professor
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cdc@nupi.no
+(47) 942 49 168
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Summary

Cedric de Coning is a Research Professor in the Research Group on Peace, Conflict and Development at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI). 

His research focuses on how the United Nations and other multilateral institutions can more effectively sustain peace and security, with particular attention to mediation, peace operations and peacebuilding. 

Drawing on complexity theory, he developed Adaptive Peace, a framework for sustaining peace and security amid the uncertainty of an increasingly turbulent global order. At NUPI he leads several international research projects on climate, peace and security, on artificial intelligence in peace and security, and on the effectiveness of peace operations. 

He also contributes to the Training for Peace programme and the UN Peace and Stabilisation Operations project. He is a senior advisor to ACCORD and Editor-in-Chief of the African Journal on Conflict Resolution. A former South African diplomat and UN peacekeeper, he has served in various advisory roles with the African Union and the United Nations, including on the Secretary-General's Advisory Board for the UN Peacebuilding Fund.

Expertise

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • International organizations
  • United Nations

Education

2012 PhD, Applied Ethics, Department of Philosophy, University of Stellenbosch

2005 M.A., Conflict Management and Peace Studies, University of KwaZula-Natal

Work Experience

2020- Research Professor, NUPI

2012-2020 Senior Researcher, NUPI

2006-2012 Researcher, NUPI

2002- Senior Advisor (Consultant), ACCORD

2002 Training Officer, UN Department of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO)

2001-2002 Political Affairs Officer, Office of the Special Representative of the Secretary-General (SRSG), UN Transitional Administration in East Timor (UNTAET)

2001 Civil Affairs Officer, Office of District Affairs, UN Transitional Administration in East Timor (UNTAET)

2000 Assistant Director: Programmes, ACCORD

1999-2000 Civil Affairs Officer, Bobonaro District UN Transitional Administration in East Timor (UNTAET)

1997-1999 Programme Manager: Peacekeeping, ACCORD

1988-1997 Assistant Director, Department of Foreign Affairs, Pretoria, South Africa

Aktivitet

Publications
Publications
Report

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: South Sudan

Flooding and droughts significantly disrupt livelihood patterns and food-security and may result in temporary displacement or longer-term migration. Such shocks exacerbate vulnerabilities and weaken the resilience and adaptive capacity of agriculture-dependent communities; they can heighten competition over natural resources, sometimes leading to cattle raiding and communal conflict. Unpredictable annual variation and extreme weather events, like flooding and droughts, affect pastoralist mobility patterns and routes, and farmers’ agricultural production. These changes may exacerbate tensions between herders and farmers, often in connection with land, grazing, water and communal conflicts. Female-headed households are especially vulnerable to the effects of climate change, as most depend on agriculture to sustain their families, and rely on natural resources like firewood and water. Climate-related livestock losses compound ongoing rivalries, increasing the risk of cattle raiding, which can trigger retaliations, communal conflicts, displacement and the growth of new or existing armed groups.

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • United Nations
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

The future of UN peace operations: Principled adaptation through phases of contraction, moderation, and renewal

This article considers the future of UN peace operations through a complexity theory lens. In the short-term peacekeeping will have to adapt to the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fall-out of the Trump presidency. In the medium-term peacekeeping will go through a phase of uncertainty and turbulence due to geopolitical power shifts in the global order. In the longer-term peacekeeping will have to adapt to a new multipolar global order characterized by coexistence, and a changing security landscape shaped by, among others, climate change, urbanization, and new technologies. Throughout these contraction, moderation, and adjustment phases, UN peacekeeping is likely to be guided by a principled adaptive approach, that allows it to adapt to the realities of the moment whilst staying true to its core form and identity. As a result, UN peacekeeping is likely to remain one of the most visible symbols of global governance and international cooperation.

  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • United Nations
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • United Nations
Publications

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Somalia

Somalia is highly susceptible to the effects of climate change and extreme weather. Without anticipatory preventive approaches, these factors are likely to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities and reduce the people’s livelihood options, which in turn may have negative impacts for stability and security in Somalia.

  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • Security policy
  • Terrorism and extremism
  • Africa
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
Research Project
2020 - 2026 (Ongoing)

Climate, Peace and Security and the UN Security Council

The Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) and the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) are collaborating on a climate, peace and security project that...

  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
  • Security policy
  • The Middle East and North Africa
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Research project
2020 - 2025 (Completed)

Training for Peace 2020 - 2025 (TfP)

In the phase (2020-2025) the TfP will strengthen its partnership and collaboration with the African Union, by providing applied research, policy support and capacity-building. ...

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • AU
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • AU
Publications
Publications
Report

Performance of Peace Operations

How should we assess and improve the performance of peace operations? This is the topic of the third dialogue strand of VCAF20. UN peace operations are under growing pressure to increase performance and enhance mandate delivery. This background paper assesses recent research into the effectiveness and performance of peace operations and new UN initiatives for internal monitoring, evaluation and related data management systems.

  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

As the AU tries to contain COVID-19, the virus constrains the AU

The AU cannot simply wait out the coronavirus pandemic: it must adapt and urgently develop new ways of working.

Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Viruset endrer FNs operasjoner

COVID-19-pandemien har påvirket FNs fredsbevarende operasjoner betydelig. På kort tid er aktivitetsnivået redusert til kun det mest kritiske.

Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Koronapandemien: FN må beskytte sitt personell

Fredsoperasjoner må raskt tilpasse seg koronapandemien, både for å beskytte eget personell og for å kunne fortsette kritiske operasjoner.

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