Introduction to Climate Change in Central Asia

Academic chapter
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Climate  Asia  Energy
Written by

Rahat Sabyrbekov

Post-Doc Researcher, EUCAM Head of Center for NUPI OSCE Academy

Indra Overland

Research Professor, Head of Research group on climate and energy



The Central Asian region has been and will continue to be significantly impacted by climate change and all the region’s countries have pledged nation- ally determined contributions (NDCs) under the Paris agreement. This chapter aims to assess how likely Central Asian countries are to fulfil these pledges. To answer this question, we compare the NDCs to their respective national development programmes and historical trends. The results show that the countries of Central Asia vary in their ability to fulfil their pledges and that doing so will require structural changes to their energy systems, substantial investments in infrastructure and, most importantly, the alignment of their development plans with their declared climate goals. None of the countries have thus far engaged in structural reforms aimed at large-scale climate change adaptation and mitigation.