Researcher
Lucas de Oliveira Paes
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Summary
Lucas De Oliveira Paes is a Senior Research Fellow at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) in the Global Order and Diplomacy research group. Lucas holds a PhD in Politics and International Studies from the University of Cambridge (UK), and master's and bachelor's degrees from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS). His research interests encompass relational perspectives on the dynamics of order, hierarchy, sovereignty, regionalism, and international relations theory more broadly. In particular, his research has explored hierarchical dynamics and asymmetries in the exercise of state sovereignty across multiple issue areas in international relations, with a focus on environmental governance.
Between 2020 and 2024, Lucas conducted postdoctoral research on Amazonian regionalism as part of the Lorax Project on transboundary ecosystem governance funded by the European Research Council. From 2024 to 2028, he will lead a Research Council of Norway (RCN) Young Research Talents called “RESOLVING: Rebundling sovereignty over local nature in global governance”, which explores comparatively how the exercise of sovereignty over ecosystems such as the Amazon and the Gulf of Guinea has been transformed through multi-level environmental governance.
Lucas's work has been recently featured in journals such as Environmental Politics, Marine Policy, Cooperation and Conflict, Journal of Peace Research, Review of International Studies, and International Affairs.
Education
2020 PhD, Politics and International Studies, University of Cambridge
2016 Master's degree in International Strategic Studies, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
2014 Bachelor's degree in International Relations, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
Work Experience
2020- Senior Research Fellow, NUPI
2018-2020 Editor-in-Chief, Cambridge Review of International Affairs
2017-2018 Associate Editor, Cambridge Review of International Affairs
2016-2017 Research Assistant, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, United States
2014-2016 Research Associate, Center for International Studies on Government, Brazil
Aktivitet
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Clear all filtersGoverning nature and the making of world order
How have efforts to govern nature and address urgent global environmental challenges shaped, transformed or undermined processes of world ordering? Chapters in this book explore how efforts to govern nature have transformed – or are transforming – how we understand and practice world politics. Bringing together a team of contributors from around the world, the book traces this inquiry across diverse international policy fields, from security and peacebuilding through science cooperation and governing ecosystems to the politics of economic growth. Taken together, the book offers a conceptually ambitious and empirically grounded account of how the governance of nature and the making of world order intertwine and calls for a research agenda to attend to the growing impact of this interrelationship.
Non-Western Visions of International Order
The scholarship on the concept of order has been expanding within international relations. The continuous upheaval of world politics first triggered a broad debate on the resilience of the liberal international order (LIO), which then led to scholarship on alternative conceptions of order, especially outside of the West. This review focuses on this body of research on non-Western views of order. It is structured geographically, taking a tour of scholarship from and on East and Southeast Asia, Latin America, Africa, South Asia and the Indo-Pacific, and Eurasia. Although each region has its own intellectual traditions, we observe that these views portray the LIO in a less idealized form, exposing its hierarchical and Western-centered nature. However, while pushing for more inclusive and plural arrangements, these critiques have not yet amounted to the articulation of radical alternative ordering projects.
Topographies of global-local connections in the Amazon: An analysis of networks of stakeholder participation in international environmental projects
Global governance has long been pushed to localize, incorporating local voices and knowledge to become both more equitable and effective. This has been particularly the case for global environmental governance, where polycentric modes of governance are found to help local actors acquire responsible stewardship and use resources sustainably. However, the selection of which local actors and knowledges will be incorporated in global governance is still dependent on major international development organizations and funding agencies. This article poses the following questions: Which types of actors are incorporated in the global governance of the Amazon and how do they participate therein? To that end, we analyze the network of stakeholders involved in development, execution, or governance of internationally funded projects in the Amazon. Analyzed projects which were part of a major multilateral initiative—the Global Environmental Facility—focusing on those whose main activities are in the Amazon Rainforest biome. The analysis sheds light on the hierarchies and patterns of exclusion in these networks, identifying which types of actors occupy central and peripheral position, and which others are underrepresented. This will expand our understanding of the politics of global local entanglements in the governance of the Amazon.
Trump 2.0 og internasjonal politikk
I denne spesialrapporten har Senter for geopolitikk samlet en rekke bidrag fra forskere tilknyttet senteret, fra Fridtjof Nansen Institutt, Institutt for Forsvarsstudier, Universitetet i Oslo, UiT – Norges Arktiske Universitet og Norsk Utenrikspolitisk Institutt. Bidragene setter søkelys på noen konkrete temaer som inntak til å forstå et USA i endring og hva det vil kunne bety for andre stater, og for utviklingen på konkrete politikkfelt. Rapporten har særlig fokus på hva disse endringene, hver for seg og samlet, betyr for Europa og Norge. En oppdatert versjon ble publisert 12.06.25, klokken 12.40.
Hierarchy
The concept of hierarchy refers to systems of vertical differentiation. Its broad meaning has many cognates both in social theory and in common parlance, such as rank, order, power, authority, status, and stratification. In International Relations (IR), the term is most famous for its opposition to a discipline-defining term: anarchy. Current uses of the term have been employed to challenge the states-under-anarchy framework as the starting point for IR theorizing. Explicit conceptualizations hierarchy in world politics define the term as either narrowly as relationships of authority relations that challenge state sovereignty or more broadly as the deeper asymmetrical structures that constitute those relations. Although the study of hierarchy (implicitly) is hardly new in IR, the novel push for studying it explicitly has sparked a wider dialogue about dynamics of vertical differentiation and renewed our disciplinary attention to the multiple inequalities that constitute world politics.
Techno-optimism versus Techno-reality: An analysis of internationally funded technological solutions against illegal unreported and unregulated (IU...
Maritime governance has been immersed in growing techno-optimism. Technological developments have largely increased the capacity of states to render legible activities at sea and thus more effectively govern them. One area in which such techno-optimism has gained force but is yet to prove itself is the fight against Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated (IUU) fishing. While technology-aided international cooperation has been crucial in curbing piracy, it has been slower to tame IUU fishing. In this article, we study international projects introducing technology-based solutions against IUU fishing in West Africa. Triangulating project documentation, donor evaluations, interviews, and other secondary sources, we assess how the techno-optimism driving those initiatives meets the techno-reality of their contexts of implementation. We find that, while grounds for optimism are far from unwarranted, realizing the potential of technological solutions against IUU fishing requires securing parallel cooperation that allows states to transform technology-based awareness into action.
Introducing the Latin American Transnational Surveillance (LATS) dataset
Transnational surveillance is a powerful tool in the arsenal of autocrats the world over. Despite its pervasive use in extraterritorial coercion, the systematic study of surveillance of regime opponents beyond national borders remains underdeveloped in political science, primarily due to limited data availability. To help fill this gap, we constructed the Latin American Transnational Surveillance dataset, a micro-level dataset based on declassified foreign surveillance reports produced between 1966 and 1986 by autocratic Brazil. Latin American Transnational Surveillance records the identity, locations, social ties and political activism of 17,000 individual targets of transnational surveillance, the vast majority of whom were tracked in neighbouring countries across Latin America. Drawing on these abundant data, we empirically explore existing theoretical insights about the motivations, methods and consequences of transnational surveillance, a task that would be difficult to do using other sources. We also leverage social network analysis to showcase potential applications of Latin American Transnational Surveillance in the testing of collective-action theories of transnational political violence.
Prestige and punishment: Status symbols and the danger of white elephants
This article identifies and unpacks the intrinsic potential for backlash in the pursuit of status symbols. While status loss has been associated with domestic pushback and reduced legitimacy for ruling governments, the literature on status is yet to examine how status-seeking can backfire even when a state can successfully claim to have acquired a status symbol. We contend that status backlashes are an inherent risk of status-seeking due to the multivocality of costly status symbols. Our heuristic framework for studying status backlashes proposes examining modes of critique that construe status symbols as irrational or unjustified costly endeavours, undermining their legitimating capacity and potentially even transforming them into a marker of stigma. Empirically, we identify three modes of critique present in reactions to Brazil’s hosting of the World Cup in 2014 and the Olympics in 2016. There, despite recognizing the symbolic value of hosting these mega-events, Brazilian audiences also criticized the government for the opportunity costs, vested interests and subservience that it entailed. Undertaking two shadow case studies – on the backlash against the United Kingdom’s renewal of its Trident nuclear weapons system and Norway’s engagement in military interventions between 1999 and 2012 – we document how these modes of critique associated with status symbols can travel across contexts.
Theory Seminar: Mai’a K. Davis Cross on: International Cooperation Against All Odds: The Ultrasocial World
NUPI is proud to welcome you to this theory seminar with Mai´a K. Davis Cross on the ultrasocial world.
Rebundling sovereignty over local nature in global governance (RESOLVING)
How does the global governance of nature transform the exercise of sovereign power? ...