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Research project

2025 - 2026 (Ongoing)

Managing Climate, Peace and Security Risks from the Borderlands of the Lake Chad (CPS-Lake Chad)

How can local efforts in the Lake Chad Region teach us how to manage the effects of climate change on peace and security?

Themes

  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • AU

The CPS-Lake Chad project examines locally driven regional stabilization efforts in the contexts of the Lake Chad (LC) region by scrutinizing whether and how such efforts have contributed to preventing and managing climate change-related peace and security risks. The two-year research project is funded by The Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) through the Cross-border Conflict Evidence, Policy, and Trends (XCEPT) research program.

Background

The Lake Chad (LC) region is a hotspot of violent conflicts, prominence of violent extremism and armed organisations, large scale population displacement, vulnerability to climate change, and severe gender inequality.

Women and children are disproportionately impacted by violence, with women and girls facing greater risk of gender-based violence including domestic violence, forced marriages, exploitation, trafficking, and denial of resources, opportunities and assistance. Climate change also has a disproportional impact on women and girls in the LC region.

As a way to mitigate some of these complex challenges, local communities, civil society organisations (CSOs), national authorities, regional bodies and international organisations are implementing several initiatives and programmes to address the complex and multifaceted climate change-related conflict dynamics in the region.

One particularly multifaceted such effort has been the development of the Regional Stabilization Strategy (RSS), now known as the Regional Strategy for the Stabilization, Recovery and Resilience (RS-SRR), which was implemented in the Lake Chad Basin in 2018. The strategy is addressing some of the complex security, humanitarian and development challenges in the region and also touches on the role of climate change as a contextual element crucial to the conflict and security dynamic in the region. 

Goals and Objectives

The CPS-Lake Chad research project sets out to examine the effects and implications of the Regional Stabilisation Strategy (RSS) response framework adopted in the Lake Chad Basin in 2018. By so doing the overarching goal of the project is to extract insights into the factors that influence effectiveness, and to identify elements that could be used to help guide future similar response initiatives also beyond the context of Lake Chad Region. 

In order to achieve these goals and objectives, the project seeks to answer the following main research question: has the implementation of the RSS+ been effective (or not) in contributing to preventing and managing climate change-related peace and security risks in the LC context, if so how and in what ways?

The CPS-Lake Chad project is led by researchers at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) including Research Professor Cedric de Coning (PI) as well as the Senior Researchers, Andrew E. Yaw Tchie, and Thor Olav Iversen. Research fellow Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb will also work on the project.

The consortium furthermore includes the collaborating partners Professor Freedom Onuoha from the University of Nigeria and Professor Saibou Issa from the University of Yaounde (Cameroon), Dr. Thomas Gonzales and Dr. Dirk Bruin from the Center Leo Apostel (CLEA) at Vrije University Brussels, in addition to Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, Msc. Louise Lieberknecht, and MA. Natalia Skripnikova from GRID-Arendal.

The project will also work closely with ten researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.

 

Other NUPI projects on climate-related peace and security risks: 

Project Manager

Cedric H. de Coning
Research Professor

Participants

Andrew E. Yaw Tchie
Senior Research Fellow
Thor Olav Iversen
Senior Researcher
Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb
Research Fellow

External

  • Professor Freedom Onuoha, University of Nigeria
  • Professor Saibou Issa, University of Yaounde (Cameroon)
  • Dr. Thomas Gonzales, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
  • Dr. Dirk Bruin, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
  • Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, GRID-Arendal
  • Louise Lieberknecht, GRID-Arendal
  • Natalia Skripnikova, GRID-Arendal

    The project will also work closely with eight researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.
     

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NUPI co-hosts two events during the first-ever Peacebuilding Week in NYC

  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
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New research
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Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
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Analysis
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Podcast: A region under pressure: Preventing climate change related conflict in the Lake Chad region

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
TWS_podcast_start page.png
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New Norwegian network launched at the first Oslo Climate, Peace and Security Forum

  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
Thor Olav.png
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Learning from climate-related stabilisation strategies in Africa

  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Nation-building
  • Climate
  • Governance
  • United Nations
  • AU

title.podkast

Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region
Podcast

Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region

In this episode of the NUPI podcast The World Stage, Cedric de Coning (NUPI) sits down with Louise Lieberknecht (formerly GRID-Arendal) who is one...

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
A region under pressure: Preventing climate change related conflict in the Lake Chad region
Podcast

A region under pressure: Preventing climate change related conflict in the Lake Chad region

How can we best prevent and manage climate-related insecurity in one of the world's most vulnerable regions? In this episode of the NUPI podcast T...

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration

New publications

Publications
Publications

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet — Lake Chad*

Climate change and conflict are deeply intertwined in the Lake Chad region, where resource scarcity, displacement and erratic weather patterns fuel tensions between communities and increase vulnerability to extremist recruitment. This NUPI-SIPRI fact sheet investigates what the UN and its member states should focus on in order to improve the situation in the Lake Chad region.

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Publications
Publications

Lutter contre l’insécurité liée au changement climatique dans la région du lac Tchad

This is a french translation of the report 'Responding to climate change-related insecurity in the Lake Chad region'

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Publications
Publications
Report
Louise Lieberknecht, Ieva Rucevska, Natalia Skripnikova, Gro Njølstad Slotsvik

Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region

This report illuminates the environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region by examining how insecurity impacts the environment and how conflict dynamics are shaped by environmental factors. It is a contribution to the CPS-Lake Chad Project, a partnership led by NUPI to study the effectiveness of the Regional Strategy for the Stabilisation Resilience and Recovery (RS-SRR). The report draws from published literature, field reports by project partners, remotely conducted interviews with regional experts, and satellite image analysis.

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
  • AU
Skjermbilde 2026-04-20 kl. 12.52.49.png
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • International organizations
  • United Nations
  • AU
Publications
Publications
Report

Responding to climate change-related insecurity in the Lake Chad region

In this report, the authors aim to contribute to generating evidence-based knowledge on the most effective strategies for preventing and managing climate-related conflict and instability. The focus in this report is on the Lake Chad region and its Regional Strategy for Stabilisation, Recovery and Resilience of the Boko Haram-affected Areas of the Lake Chad Basin Region (RS-SRR). An updated version was uploaded on 12 May 2026. The authors have identified three implementation gaps, and present eight recommendations to address them.

  • Africa
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
Skjermbilde 2026-03-27 kl. 08.26.56.png
  • Africa
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Insurgencies
Publications
Publications
Report
Thor Olav Iversen, Cedric H. de Coning, Andrew E. Yaw Tchie, Saibou Issa, Freedom Onuoha, Minoo Koefoed, Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb

Managing Climate, Peace and Security Risks in the Borderlands of the Lake Chad Region (CPS-Lake Chad)

This is a Rapid Evidence Assessment (REA) report for the research project on managing climate, peace and security risks in the borderlands of the Lake Chad Basin Region. An updated version was published 8 May 2026.

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Climate
Skjermbilde 2026-02-02 kl. 14.31.12.png
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Migration
  • Climate

Themes

  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • AU

Project Manager

Cedric H. de Coning
Research Professor

Participants

Andrew E. Yaw Tchie
Senior Research Fellow
Thor Olav Iversen
Senior Researcher
Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb
Research Fellow

External

  • Professor Freedom Onuoha, University of Nigeria
  • Professor Saibou Issa, University of Yaounde (Cameroon)
  • Dr. Thomas Gonzales, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
  • Dr. Dirk Bruin, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
  • Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, GRID-Arendal
  • Louise Lieberknecht, GRID-Arendal
  • Natalia Skripnikova, GRID-Arendal

    The project will also work closely with eight researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.