Research project
Managing Climate, Peace and Security Risks from the Borderlands of the Lake Chad (CPS-Lake Chad)
The CPS-Lake Chad project examines locally driven regional stabilization efforts in the contexts of the Lake Chad (LC) region by scrutinizing whether and how such efforts have contributed to preventing and managing climate change-related peace and security risks. The two-year research project is funded by The Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) through the Cross-border Conflict Evidence, Policy, and Trends (XCEPT) research program.
Background
The Lake Chad (LC) region is a hotspot of violent conflicts, prominence of violent extremism and armed organisations, large scale population displacement, vulnerability to climate change, and severe gender inequality.
Women and children are disproportionately impacted by violence, with women and girls facing greater risk of gender-based violence including domestic violence, forced marriages, exploitation, trafficking, and denial of resources, opportunities and assistance. Climate change also has a disproportional impact on women and girls in the LC region.
As a way to mitigate some of these complex challenges, local communities, civil society organisations (CSOs), national authorities, regional bodies and international organisations are implementing several initiatives and programmes to address the complex and multifaceted climate change-related conflict dynamics in the region.
One particularly multifaceted such effort has been the development of the Regional Stabilization Strategy (RSS), now known as the Regional Strategy for the Stabilization, Recovery and Resilience (RS-SRR), which was implemented in the Lake Chad Basin in 2018. The strategy is addressing some of the complex security, humanitarian and development challenges in the region and also touches on the role of climate change as a contextual element crucial to the conflict and security dynamic in the region.
Goals and Objectives
The CPS-Lake Chad research project sets out to examine the effects and implications of the Regional Stabilisation Strategy (RSS) response framework adopted in the Lake Chad Basin in 2018. By so doing the overarching goal of the project is to extract insights into the factors that influence effectiveness, and to identify elements that could be used to help guide future similar response initiatives also beyond the context of Lake Chad Region.
In order to achieve these goals and objectives, the project seeks to answer the following main research question: has the implementation of the RSS+ been effective (or not) in contributing to preventing and managing climate change-related peace and security risks in the LC context, if so how and in what ways?
The CPS-Lake Chad project is led by researchers at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) including Research Professor Cedric de Coning (PI) as well as the Senior Researchers, Andrew E. Yaw Tchie, and Thor Olav Iversen. Research fellow Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb will also work on the project.
The consortium furthermore includes the collaborating partners Professor Freedom Onuoha from the University of Nigeria and Professor Saibou Issa from the University of Yaounde (Cameroon), Dr. Thomas Gonzales and Dr. Dirk Bruin from the Center Leo Apostel (CLEA) at Vrije University Brussels, in addition to Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, Msc. Louise Lieberknecht, and MA. Natalia Skripnikova from GRID-Arendal.
The project will also work closely with ten researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.
Other NUPI projects on climate-related peace and security risks:
Project Manager
Participants
External
- Professor Freedom Onuoha, University of Nigeria
- Professor Saibou Issa, University of Yaounde (Cameroon)
- Dr. Thomas Gonzales, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
- Dr. Dirk Bruin, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
- Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, GRID-Arendal
- Louise Lieberknecht, GRID-Arendal
- Natalia Skripnikova, GRID-Arendal
The project will also work closely with eight researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.
Articles
title.podkast
Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region
In this episode of the NUPI podcast The World Stage, Cedric de Coning (NUPI) sits down with Louise Lieberknecht (formerly GRID-Arendal) who is one...
A region under pressure: Preventing climate change related conflict in the Lake Chad region
How can we best prevent and manage climate-related insecurity in one of the world's most vulnerable regions? In this episode of the NUPI podcast T...
New publications
Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet — Lake Chad*
Climate change and conflict are deeply intertwined in the Lake Chad region, where resource scarcity, displacement and erratic weather patterns fuel tensions between communities and increase vulnerability to extremist recruitment. This NUPI-SIPRI fact sheet investigates what the UN and its member states should focus on in order to improve the situation in the Lake Chad region.
Lutter contre l’insécurité liée au changement climatique dans la région du lac Tchad
This is a french translation of the report 'Responding to climate change-related insecurity in the Lake Chad region'
Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region
This report illuminates the environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region by examining how insecurity impacts the environment and how conflict dynamics are shaped by environmental factors. It is a contribution to the CPS-Lake Chad Project, a partnership led by NUPI to study the effectiveness of the Regional Strategy for the Stabilisation Resilience and Recovery (RS-SRR). The report draws from published literature, field reports by project partners, remotely conducted interviews with regional experts, and satellite image analysis.
Responding to climate change-related insecurity in the Lake Chad region
In this report, the authors aim to contribute to generating evidence-based knowledge on the most effective strategies for preventing and managing climate-related conflict and instability. The focus in this report is on the Lake Chad region and its Regional Strategy for Stabilisation, Recovery and Resilience of the Boko Haram-affected Areas of the Lake Chad Basin Region (RS-SRR). An updated version was uploaded on 12 May 2026. The authors have identified three implementation gaps, and present eight recommendations to address them.
Managing Climate, Peace and Security Risks in the Borderlands of the Lake Chad Region (CPS-Lake Chad)
This is a Rapid Evidence Assessment (REA) report for the research project on managing climate, peace and security risks in the borderlands of the Lake Chad Basin Region. An updated version was published 8 May 2026.
Project Manager
Participants
External
- Professor Freedom Onuoha, University of Nigeria
- Professor Saibou Issa, University of Yaounde (Cameroon)
- Dr. Thomas Gonzales, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
- Dr. Dirk Bruin, Center Leo Apostel (CLEA), Vrije University Brussels
- Dr. Nataliia Gerasymenko, GRID-Arendal
- Louise Lieberknecht, GRID-Arendal
- Natalia Skripnikova, GRID-Arendal
The project will also work closely with eight researchers from the LC region with granular expert insights concerning conflict dynamics on the ground, in addition to proficiency in local languages, cultural sensitivity, and other contextual dynamics essential to capture the actual local effects of the regional stabilization strategies and policies implemented in these regions.