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Researcher

Jakub M. Godzimirski

Research Professor
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Contactinfo and files

jmg@nupi.no
+(47) 984 90 717
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Summary

Jakub M. Godzimirski has been working on Russian foreign and security policy issues at NUPI for more than 20 years, paying special attention to the role of energy resources in Russian grand strategy. In addition he also has worked on European policy and its impact on developments in Central and Eastern Europe, including relations with Russia.

Expertise

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • International economics
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Arctic
  • Conflict
  • Energy
  • International organizations
  • The EU

Education

1987 Ph.D. Polish Academy of Science and Letters

1981 MA social antropology at Warsaw University

Work Experience

1995- Senior research fellow at NUPI

1993-1994 Senior analyst at The Ministry of Defence, Poland 

1981-1987 Research fellow at the Institute of Arts, The Polish Academy of Science and Letters

Aktivitet

Articles
New research
Articles
New research

The Impact of the Ukraine Conflict on Norwegian Energy Dynamics

Norway should establish an energy policy that makes the green transition less painful. But while the Ukraine war has accelerated the EU's renewable ambitions, it may have also bought Norway more time to adapt, according to a new NUPI report.
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
  • Climate
  • Energy
  • The EU
Publications
Publications
Report

The Ukraine War, the New Geopolitics of Energy, and Norway

This study aims to address the question of how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has changed patterns of regional and global energy interactions and how this influences perceptions of Norway as a major regional energy actor. To examine these important questions, we will proceed in the following manner. In the first part of this study, we will present our operational understanding of the key concepts shaping our thinking about the relationship between the geopolitical and geoeconomic aspects of international cooperation and rivalry. Here we also will discuss the role of various national instruments of power in the pursuit of geopolitical and geoeconomic objectives. In the second part we narrow the scope of this examination to shed light on the relationship between geopolitics and energy in global and regional contexts, paying special attention to trends shaping the international energy game. This includes the changing role of Russia; how green energy transition reshapes international energy cooperation and how old and new energy-related policy instruments are evolving in this rapidly changing energy landscape. In addition, we also examine the nature of the old and new threats to energy flows, particularly those related to critical energy infrastructure. In the third part of this study, we examine the direct and indirect impacts the Russian war against Ukraine has had on energy markets and what implications these recent developments have for the position of Norway as a major energy actor. Norway’s importance for energy consumers, especially in Europe, has increased because of the war. Although the global energy trends discussed in the previous section also influence Norway and Europe, the focus in the latter section is on the regional dimension as Norway’s energy supplies reach first and foremost Europe. Finally, we examine possible scenarios that may influence energy markets and geopolitical conditions, with special attention paid to global factors with the potential to cause serious shifts. Part of the focus is on possible technological breakthroughs that may change the parameters of the international energy interactions and undermine the position of traditional energy producers and exporters.

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
  • Energy
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  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
  • Energy
Event
14:30 - 15:30
NUPI/Livestream to Facebook and Youtube
Engelsk
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Event
14:30 - 15:30
NUPI/Livestream to Facebook and Youtube
Engelsk
7. Nov 2022
Event
14:30 - 15:30
NUPI/Livestream to Facebook and Youtube
Engelsk

How the war in Ukraine has changed the security situation in the Black Sea and the High North

How has the Russian aggression against Ukraine launched in February 2022 changed perceptions of security in the Black Sea region and in the High North?

Articles
News
Articles
News

RUSMENA round tables in Rome and Florence on 1 and 2 June 2022

The NUPI project 'Russian repertoires of power in the MENA region' (RUSMENA) organized a two-day roundtable in Italy.
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Middle East and North Africa
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Publications
Publications

Russia and energy crisis in Europe

This lecture was to shed ligh on the perception of Russia's role in the ongoing energy crisis in Europe. The lecture was divided into four parts. In the first Russia role as energy actor was discussed. In the second part details were provided on the ongoing energy crisis in Europe with high gas and electrrity prices, while the third part presented assumptions and data on Russia's role in the crisis. Finaly, part four contained discussion on the role of energy in Russian strategy.

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Energy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Energy
Program
2022 - 2024 (Ongoing)

Norway and Great Power Politics – Geopolitics, Technology and Climate (NISP)

Our times are shaped by developments in geopolitical power dynamics, fast-paced technological development and climate change. In this research program NUPI analyses how these developments change the s...

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Foreign policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • North America
  • The Arctic
  • The Nordic countries
  • Climate
  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Foreign policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • North America
  • The Arctic
  • The Nordic countries
  • Climate
Publications
Publications

Kan Norge oppleve et cyberangrep i dag?

This oped discusses the risk of a cyber attack on Norwegian energy infrastructure after the introduction of sanctions against Russia in connection with Russia's war against Ukraine.

  • Security policy
  • Cyber
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Energy
  • Security policy
  • Cyber
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Energy
Publications
Publications

Dette kan være en dyrekjøpt seier eller slutten på Putins regime

This brief article sums up the first two months of the Russian military operation in Ukraine by looking at Russian original objectives and the situation on the ground by the end of April 2022.

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Conflict
Articles
News
Articles
News

PODCAST: Can Europe get out of Russian gas?

In this new episode of The World Stage, Jarand Rystad, Jakub M. Godzimirski and Ulf Sverdrup take a closer look at European dependence of Russian gas and the possibilities that lies within Europe.
  • Security policy
  • Economic growth
  • Globalisation
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Energy
  • Governance
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Event
17:30 - 19:00
Bucharest
Engelsk
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Event
17:30 - 19:00
Bucharest
Engelsk
5. May 2022
Event
17:30 - 19:00
Bucharest
Engelsk

WEBINAR: Renewed Threats from the High North to the Black Sea. Main FLANKS Conclusions and Findings

On Thursday, May 5th 2022, New Strategy Center, in partnership with the Norwegian Institute for International Affairs (NUPI), will organize the online conference ”Renewed Threats from the High North to the Black Sea. Main FLANKS Conclusions and Findings”.

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