The Geography of a U.S.-China War
Øystein Tunsjø (IFS) and Henrik Stålhane Hiim (IFS) believe that the trend of comparing the current US-China relationship with the Cold War is misleading because the geography is different. The rivalry between the US and China is located in maritime East Asia, especially Taiwan, and in a maritime area of operations it is easier to keep a war limited than in a land conflict, which paradoxically lowers the threshold for going to war. At the same time, the threshold for limited use of nuclear weapons is also lower in a maritime scenario.
Environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region
This report illuminates the environmental dimensions of conflict in the Lake Chad region by examining how insecurity impacts the environment and how conflict dynamics are shaped by environmental factors. It is a contribution to the CPS-Lake Chad Project, a partnership led by NUPI to study the effectiveness of the Regional Strategy for the Stabilisation Resilience and Recovery (RS-SRR). The report draws from published literature, field reports by project partners, remotely conducted interviews with regional experts, and satellite image analysis.
The circles of security: The role of the NB8 in (Northern) European security
Russia’s war against Ukraine has profoundly worsened Europe’s security environment, but it has also spurred deeper regional cooperation. The challenge now is to ensure that this growing number of initiatives remains purposeful, adds concrete value, and strengthens both the EU and NATO.
Women, football and social change in Saudi Arabia: Pioneer players
CIMS and NUPI are pleased to announce a co-organized event featuring a book launch with author Dr. Charlotte Lysa and co-panelists: Dr Laila Makboul and Prof. Emeritus Bjørn Olav Utvik.
Ubalansen i Russlands krigsøkonomi
Etter Russlands fullskalainvasjon av Ukraina i 2022 har russiske myndigheter i økende grad omorganisert økonomien for å støtte krigsinnsatsen. I de første årene kom krigsutgiftene på toppen av allerede høye budsjetter, finansiert av ekstraordinært høye petroleumsinntekter, tapping av oppsparte midler og økende statlig låneopptak. Dette kunnskapsnotatet tar for seg hvordan den voldsomme pengebruken har gitt den økonomiske aktiviteten et løft, men også bidratt til et overopphetet arbeidsmarked og press på produksjonskapasiteten. I 2025 har de makroøkonomiske ubalansene nådd en grense, og veksten har bremset opp. For å finansiere krigen videre, har regimet gradvis nedprioritert sivile formål, og skjerpet skatte- og avgiftsnivået. Det redegjøres for at krigsøkonomien trolig kan videreføres i noen år til, men til økende kostnad: privatnæringsliv og velferdsordninger svekkes, og de politiske og sosiale belastningene blir stadig større.
Breakfast seminar: Legitimacy’s labour lost: The social and psychological work of compliance and consent in wartime Russia
How has Russian public support for the war in Ukraine remained so resilient – and what dynamics are keeping it in place?
European nuclear deterrence: The french initiative
Join us for a conversation on European security in a time marked by war, nuclear threats, and growing strategic uncertainty. Against the backdrop...
Theory seminar: Theorising territorial passions
Professor Gerard Toal visits NUPI for this theory seminar on 24 April.
Navigating a Multiplex World Order
Is the liberal international order coming to an end, and what follows the era of American hegemony? In this episode of The World Stage, Senior Res...
Navigating a Multiplex World Order
Is the liberal international order coming to an end, and what follows the era of American hegemony? In this episode of The World Stage, Senior Res...