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Natural resources and climate

What are the key questions related to natural resources and climate?
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Research project
2025 - 2026 (Ongoing)

Managing Climate, Peace and Security Risks from the Borderlands of the Lake Chad (CPS-Lake Chad)

How can local efforts in the Lake Chad Region teach us how to manage the effects of climate change on peace and security? ...

  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • AU
  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Nation-building
  • Insurgencies
  • Climate
  • Human rights
  • AU
Publications
Publications
Report
Kacper Szulecki, Amalie Skaiå Larsen, Bendik Larsen, Philip Lømo Godal

EU-Norway Green Alliance between vision and reality: Exploring the potential and barriers in the critical minerals and battery sectors

Norway, a key supplier of hydrocarbons and clean energy, can play a pivotal role in the EU's green transition by providing critical raw materials and batteries. However, political and regulatory obstacles must be addressed to realize this potential. Norway's alignment with the European Green Deal and its commitment to sustainability initiatives make this easier on the onset, but challenges remain. The EU's regulatory landscape, including the European Green Deal, Critical Raw Materials Act, and Battery Regulation, aims to create a sustainable and competitive battery industry. Norway's policies, such as the Green Industrial Initiative and the Mineral Strategy, align with these goals, focusing on efficient processes, circular economy, and sustainable industry development. The report presents case studies of three significant mining projects in Norway: Nussir (copper), Nordic Mining (rutile and garnet) and Skaland Graphite. All three projects highlight the complexities of domestic mining, including regulatory hurdles, environmental concerns, and opposition from local communities and indigenous groups. These case studies underscore the need for balanced approaches that consider both economic benefits and environmental protection. Note: The research for this report and writing of the first draft was conducted while Skaiå Larsen, Larsen og Godal were graduate students at the University of Oslo. All further research, writing and editing, as well as the final formulation of policy recommendations was conducted by Szulecki.

  • Trade
  • Europe
  • Climate
  • Energy
  • The EU
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  • Trade
  • Europe
  • Climate
  • Energy
  • The EU
Research project
2024 - 2025 (Completed)

Water and Conflict in Central Asia

This project examines the escalating water scarcity crisis in Central Asia, focusing on key hotspots like the Qosh Tepa Canal, to analyze how climate change, population growth, and uni...

  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Asia
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • Governance
  • Security policy
  • Regional integration
  • Development policy
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Asia
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • Governance
Research project
2024 - 2027 (Ongoing)

Mistra Mineral Governance (MISTRA)

MISTRA will help public and private decision-makers in Sweden and in the EU navigate the landscape of critical minerals and the low carbon energy transmission. ...

  • Trade
  • International investments
  • Europe
  • Asia
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
  • Climate
  • Energy
  • Human rights
  • Governance
  • Trade
  • International investments
  • Europe
  • Asia
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
  • Climate
  • Energy
  • Human rights
  • Governance
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Trailblazers in a Warming World? The Agency of African Actors in Climate, Peace, and Security

A growing body of evidence indicates how climate change can, combined with other factors, increase the risk of violent conflict. Such claims have particularly been made in African contexts. This article studies the agency exerted by African actors in shaping international agendas on climate, peace, and security in the cases of (1) the UN Security Council, (2) The African Union and (3) COP27. The analysis shows how this engagement has included diplomacy, discursive innovation, epistemic engagement, and policy coordination. We argue that the continent’s growing geopolitical centrality is enabling African actors to exert a nonaligned foreign policy on their own terms.

  • Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Climate
  • United Nations
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  • Africa
  • Peace, crisis and conflict
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

How do donors integrate climate policy and development cooperation? An analysis of the development aid policies of 42 donor countries

This article assesses how donor countries integrate climate action into their development aid policies. An analytical framework is developed for the systematic comparison of development aid policies along three dimensions: hierarchy of policy objectives, types of measures the donors implement, and linkages to international climate negotiations. Analyzing the development aid policies of 42 donors, we find that only three have redesigned their development aid policies to fully integrate climate policy concerns. Instead, donors treat climate change as a thematic priority area. This includes several donors that are currently not obliged to provide climate finance under the UNFCCC. Furthermore, five major donor countries emphasize the use of diverse foreign policy tools to support climate action in developing countries. Importantly, we identify how other development goals (poverty, gender) are integrated with climate policy goals. Only two donor countries clearly separate development aid and climate finance. Luxembourg states that its climate finance pledge is additional to development, while New Zealand has a separate climate finance strategy where the allocation of funds is based on climate mitigation effectiveness concerns.

  • Development policy
  • Climate
  • United Nations
  • Development policy
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Kacper Szulecki, Claire Dupont, Jeffrey Rosamond, Tomas Maltby, Elin Lerum Boasson

The urgent need for social science and humanities knowledge for climate action in Europe

  • Europe
  • Climate
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  • Europe
  • Climate
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Ecosystems and Ordering: A Dataset

This article presents a dataset, examining how global ecosystems are governed, offering data about cooperation initiatives around 221 cross-bordered ecosystems. This sample of cases was selected from a list of 1525 “meta-ecosystems” catalogued by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) and a team of scientists (terrestrial ecosystems, [6]; freshwater ecosystems, [2]; and marine ecosystems, [9]). The 221 ecosystems were selected because they are shared by four or more bordering countries. Departing from this unit of analysis, we researched the cooperative cross-border governance anchored in each ecosystem and categorized each of these based on the level and type of cooperation. In generating this dataset, our coding scheme was designed to also capture cases of non-cooperation: when our search protocol did not result in the identification of any initiative for an ecosystem, the ecosystem was coded as a “zero case.” When we found initiatives connected to the ecosystems, our coding typology specifically classified cooperation initiatives along two dimensions: cooperation geographical scope and cooperation scope (single or multi-issue). The dataset presents ecosystem-anchored cooperation initiatives, as well as wider initiatives that may address ecosystem issues, to systematically attend to the question of the extent to which and in which form ecosystems are addressed in transboundary governance efforts. The dataset allows for further study of ecosystemic governance patterns, enabling analysis of the causes and consequences of cooperation, since it can be easily integrated with both the ecosystem and state-level data. The dataset is presented in two .csv files and has been handled with R software in order to present the visualization.

  • Climate
  • Governance
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  • Climate
  • Governance
Publications
Publications
Scientific article
Kacper Szulecki, Tomas Maltby, Julia Szulecka

Climate Obstruction in Poland: A Governmental–Industrial Complex

Poland is known for its climate scepticism and denial throughout the 1990s and 2000s. Despite its recent rapid deployment of renewable energy sources, Poland remains Europe’s most coal-dependent economy. Since 2004, consecutive governments have been ‘pulling the brake’ on the European Union’s more ambitious climate policy initiatives and decarbonization targets. There are recent signs of changing societal attitudes, but the country is alone among EU nations in lacking a net zero emissions target or a coal power phase-out date. This situation has been created and perpetuated by a coalition of governmental institutions, agencies, state-owned energy companies, and utilities that constitute a governmental–industrial complex (GIC). While the GIC has moderated its discourse and policies, it continues to promote ‘silver bullet’ technologies such as ‘clean’ coal and new nuclear power plants. Poland’s commitment to a just, gradual energy transition is a climate imposter tactic, part of an overarching strategy of delay.

  • Europe
  • Climate
  • Europe
  • Climate
Publications
Publications
Scientific article
Kacper Szulecki, Tomas Maltby, Steven Harry

Contesting just transitions: Climate delay and the contradictions of labour environmentalism

The notion of ‘just transition’ (JT) is an attempt to align climate and energy objectives with the material concerns of industrial workers, frontline communities, and marginalised groups. Despite the potential for fusing social and environmental justice, there is growing concern that the concept is being mobilised in practice as a form of ‘climate delayism’: a problem more ambiguous than open forms of denialism as it draws in multiple and conflictual agents, practices, and discourses. Using an historical materialist framework, attentive to both energy-capital and capital-labour relations, we show how JT is vulnerable to forces and relations of climate delay across both fossil capital and climate capital hegemonic projects. We review this through an engagement with the climate obstructionism literature and the theory of labour environmentalism: the political engagement of trade unionists and workers with environmental issues. As tensions within the labour movement surface amidst the unsettling of the carbon capital hegemony, we assess the degree to which (organised) labour—as an internally differentiated, contradictory movement—is participating in climate breakdown through a ‘praxis of delay’. Trade unions and industrial workers are often implicated in resisting or undermining transitions, but this is related significantly to their structural power relations vis a vis the fossil hegemony. Notably, JT negotiations are themselves structurally embedded within the carbon capital economy. The general preferences of trade unions for social over environmental justice might be prevalent but are neither universal nor inevitable; JT is open and contested political terrain, and labour-environmental struggles remain imperative for building just energy futures.

  • Climate
  • Energy
  • Climate
  • Energy
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