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Scientific article
Cedric H. de Coning, Marko Lehti, Denys Brylov, Tetiana Kalenychenko

Winning the Peace: The Role of Agonistic and Adaptive Peacebuilding in Sustaining Social Cohesion in Ukraine

This article analyzes the role that Ukrainian peacebuilders play in contributing to strengthening social cohesion in war-time Ukraine. It studies an initiative to facilitate dialogue between two jurisdictions of the Orthodox church to develop new insights into the role that dialogue facilitation and peace mediation can play as a form of internal peacebuilding. We analyze and assess these dialogue practices in Ukraine from the perspective of two theoretical approaches, namely agonistic peace and adaptive peacebuilding. The efforts of Ukrainian dialogue facilitators and peacebuilders have received little international attention and support, despite the fact that ambitious plans are underway to help rebuild Ukraine, and significant amounts of money are being mobilized for this effort. Our hope is that these efforts will involve the Ukrainian peacebuilding community in their work in order to ensure that their reconstruction efforts are conflict sensitive and peace positive.

  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
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  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
Publications
Publications
Policy brief
Stanislav Boiko, Lesia Ogryzko

Ukraine: Sobered after Four Years of Indecision

In the Multinational Force Ukraine series of policy briefs leading experts from allied countries assess key factors for participation in the Multinational Force Ukraine. This includes the political willingness of allies to deploy troops—on the ground, in the air, or at sea—to establish a military presence in or around Ukraine. They also examine the conditions for such deployments to occur (before, during, or after peace negotiations), the roles these forces would be expected to perform (defensive or offensive), the red lines imposed by national governments, and the specific capabilities each country could realistically contribute. This brief analyses the Ukraine.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • North America
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • North America
Publications
Publications
Policy brief
Max Bergmann

United States: Europe with Eyes Wide Shut

In the Multinational Force Ukraine series of policy briefs leading experts from allied countries assess key factors for participation in the Multinational Force Ukraine. This includes the political willingness of allies to deploy troops—on the ground, in the air, or at sea—to establish a military presence in or around Ukraine. They also examine the conditions for such deployments to occur (before, during, or after peace negotiations), the roles these forces would be expected to perform (defensive or offensive), the red lines imposed by national governments, and the specific capabilities each country could realistically contribute. This brief analyses the United States.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • South and Central America
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • South and Central America
Event
09:00 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
Event
09:00 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
16. Dec 2025
Event
09:00 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk

India in the Multilateral System

With multilateral bodies challenged by competing powers, reform pressures and changing coalitions, India’s place within the system is evolving. How do these dynamics shape India’s multilateral role today?

Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Transformative securitization: Rethinking the Copenhagen School in light of COVID-19, climate change, and the war in Ukraine

This article advances securitization theory by introducing the concept of transformative securitization, in which crises are not only framed as existential threats but also as catalysts for reconstituting political orders. Drawing on the Copenhagen School and Hannah Arendt’s notion of natality, the article distinguishes transformative securitization from conservative forms that aim to preserve the status quo. It conceptualizes transformative securitization through three dimensions: agency (bottom-up and participatory), procedure (disruptive yet potentially democratizing), and outcome (yielding durable institutional or normative change). Through empirical illustrations from Denmark and Norway’s responses to COVID-19, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and climate change, the article shows how securitization can both constrain and enable democratic transformation. It finds that while some responses reinforce executive power and narrow deliberative space, others—especially in climate politics—reflect participatory and future-oriented securitizing moves that can reconfigure societal sectors or entire polities. Climate change emerges as a paradigmatic case of transformative securitization, where intergenerational justice and systemic change are driven by civic agency. By bridging crisis and political founding, the concept refines securitization theory’s understanding of extraordinary politics and offers new tools to analyze the democratic potential and pitfalls of security responses in an era of overlapping, urgent predicaments.

  • Security policy
  • International economics
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Pandemics
  • Climate
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  • Security policy
  • International economics
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Pandemics
  • Climate
Publications
Publications
Scientific article

Not What to Have, but How to Have It: Japan’s Debate on Acquiring Counterstrike Capabilities 2016–2023

As part of its historic defense buildup, Japan is incorporating counterstrike capabilities in its defense posture. While previous administrations were reluctant to pursue such capabilities, during the second Abe administration (2012–2020) the Liberal Democratic Party-Kōmeitō coalition eventually deemed them necessary for Japan’s self-defense. However, the belief that conducting counterstrikes is within the boundaries of Japan’s constitution and exclusively defense-oriented policy is contested. In this article, we study the parliamentary debate on acquiring counterstrike capabilities and examine how Japanese politicians discuss the parameters of the use of this controversial military instrument. Based on a content analysis of parliamentary transcripts, we find that three topics in particular are central to the debate on counterstrike capabilities: (1) the defense of Taiwan, (2) the role of the US in Japan’s defense and interoperability, and (3) the impact of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Although the opposition and ruling parties differ in their positions on the parameters for conducting counterstrikes, such an acquisition is no longer politically unsustainable. As such, the parliamentary debate is increasingly about the use and implementation of counterstrikes rather than their existence at all.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Asia
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Asia
Articles
Analysis
Articles
Analysis

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Abyei

  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Africa
  • United Nations
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Publications
Publications
Florian Krampe, Cedric H. de Coning, Katongo Seyuba, Thor Olav Iversen, Kheira Tarif, Andrew E. Yaw Tchie, Ingvild Brox Brodtkorb

Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Abyei

The Abyei Administrative Area, a disputed territory that lies between Sudan and South Sudan, faces complex interconnected challenges. Communities in Abyei largely depend on climate-sensitive livelihoods such as cattle herding, farming and seasonal migration. Increased flooding and prolonged dry spells in recent years have reduced crop yields, affected livestock rearing and displaced households, which has deepened existing livelihood and security challenges. Limited basic services and poor infrastructure, combined with weak governance, constrain the coping capacities of local communities and increase their need for humanitarian assistance. Yet funding cuts and insecurity have led some humanitarian organizations to scale back operations, while the civil war in Sudan continues to increase humanitarian needs in Abyei. The territory’s disputed status further impedes long-term development planning to address interconnected challenges, including climate-related security risks.

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
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  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Conflict
  • Fragile states
  • Climate
  • United Nations
Publications
Publications
Policy brief
Margarita Šešelgytė

Lithuania: Balancing Ambition with Capacity

In the Multinational Force Ukraine series of policy briefs leading experts from allied countries assess key factors for participation in the Multinational Force Ukraine. This includes the political willingness of allies to deploy troops—on the ground, in the air, or at sea—to establish a military presence in or around Ukraine. They also examine the conditions for such deployments to occur (before, during, or after peace negotiations), the roles these forces would be expected to perform (defensive or offensive), the red lines imposed by national governments, and the specific capabilities each country could realistically contribute. This brief analyses Lithuania.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
Publications
Publications
Lucas de Oliveira Paes, Ayse Zarakol

Non-Western Visions of International Order

The scholarship on the concept of order has been expanding within international relations. The continuous upheaval of world politics first triggered a broad debate on the resilience of the liberal international order (LIO), which then led to scholarship on alternative conceptions of order, especially outside of the West. This review focuses on this body of research on non-Western views of order. It is structured geographically, taking a tour of scholarship from and on East and Southeast Asia, Latin America, Africa, South Asia and the Indo-Pacific, and Eurasia. Although each region has its own intellectual traditions, we observe that these views portray the LIO in a less idealized form, exposing its hierarchical and Western-centered nature. However, while pushing for more inclusive and plural arrangements, these critiques have not yet amounted to the articulation of radical alternative ordering projects.

  • International economics
  • Globalisation
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • North America
  • South and Central America
  • Governance
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  • International economics
  • Globalisation
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • North America
  • South and Central America
  • Governance
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