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Researcher

John Karlsrud

Research Professor
john_karlsrud_11.jpg

Contactinfo and files

jka@nupi.no
(+47) 934 52 444
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Summary

John Karlsrud is a Research Professor in the Research group on peace, conflict and development, where he works on coalitions in international security, UN peacekeeping as well as issues related to change in global governance more broadly. He has published a number of books, articles and policy reports on these topics.

Karlsrud earned his PhD at the University of Warwick, and has been a Visiting Fulbright Fellow at the Center on International Cooperation at New York University and a visiting fellow at the European University Institute. He has worked in Bosnia and Hercegovina, Chad, Palestine (West Bank), Norway and USA, and conducted field research and shorter missions to Haiti, Iraq, Liberia, Mozambique, Serbia, Sierra Leone, South Sudan and Ukraine.

Expertise

  • Africa
  • Peace operations
  • Humanitarian issues
  • International organizations
  • United Nations

Education

2014 Senior Executive Course 13, Norwegian Defence University College, Aug-Nov 2014

2010-2014 Ph.D., Politics and Internationals Studies, University of Warwick. Title: Linked Ecologies and Norm Change in United Nations Peacekeeping Operations

2005 Master of Peace and Conflict Studies / International Affairs with Distinction Joint Master from Institute for Graduate Studies in International Affairs, Australian National University and the Peace Research Centre of Oslo

Work Experience

2020- Head of the Reserach group on peace, conflict and development

2015- External Associate, Centre for the Study of Globalisation and Regionalisation, University of Warwick 2015 Fulbright Visiting Fellow, Center on International Cooperation, New York University

2012 Lecturer, IR Master

2010- Programme Manager and Senior Research Fellow at Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI)

2010- Senior Research Fellow, NUPI

2008-2010 Special Assistant to the Special Representative of the Secretary General (SRSG), United Nations Mission in Chad and the Central African Republic (MINURCAT), Chad

2006-2008 Policy and Strategy Analyst, Strategic and Regional Initiatives Unit (SRIU), Regional Bureau for Africa (RBA), UNDP New York HQ

2005-2006 Researcher and Assistant to the Managing Director, Fafo Institute for Applied International Studies (AIS)

2002-2003 Liaison and Operations Officer for NATO in Bosnia and Hercegovina (BiH), seconded by the Norwegian Army

Aktivitet

Publications
Publications
Report
Olena Davlikanova, John Karlsrud, Klara Lindström, Lesia Ogryzko

The NB8–Ukraine Security Nexus: Shaping Europe’s Future Defence Architecture

Europe’s security order is undergoing a structural transformation against the backdrop of a multipolar world. Russia’s protracted war against Ukraine and its full-scale sub-threshold warfare against Europe are creating a security environment in which mistakes will carry historic consequences. In this emerging security landscape, Ukraine is no longer merely a recipient of security assistance; it is an important contributor to the development of Europe’s defence capacity. The Nordic-Baltic Eight (NB8)-Ukraine security nexus has the potential to become the operational core of a wider European response to Russia’s long-standing security threat. To achieve this, Ukraine must be integrated into Europe’s emerging security architecture now. Data from the Everywhere War Tracker underscores the urgency: more than 450 incidents in the Euro-Atlantic region between 2022 and October 2026, in which Russia’s role has been established. At the same time, although every NB8 state concluded a 10-year bilateral security cooperation agreement with Ukraine, turning these agreements into operational partnerships has proved difficult and slow: for instance, a solid rocket fuel plant planned in Denmark by Fire Point has been delayed until 2027. What else, beyond its battlefield experience, can Ukraine offer Europe? Why might a “frozen” war turn out to be the calm before a larger storm? What role should Ukraine play in European security? You will find the answers to each of these questions in the report “The NB8–Ukraine Security Nexus: Shaping Europe’s Future Defence Architecture”. The report was prepared by the Sahaidachnyi Security Center (SSC) in cooperation with the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) and the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS) at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • The Nordic countries
  • Conflict
Event
08:30 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
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Event
08:30 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
11. Nov 2026
Event
08:30 - 10:30 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk

Breakfast seminar: The NB8-Ukraine Security Nexus: Shaping Europe’s Future Defence Architecture

In this seminar, we will hear from four experts from Ukraine, Sweden and Norway on how the NB8-Ukraine partnership is evolving, what is needed next, and the role of this partnership for the European security architecture.

Publications
Publications
John Karlsrud, Yf Reykers

From European Coalitions to a European Security Council

In the past years, coalitions have become the standard response to move forward when consensus is proving too time-consuming. John Karlsrud and Yf Reykers argue in this brief that it is time to move from coalitions to a European security council, making the European institutional architecture again fit for purpose.

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Publications

Norsk forsvarsvilje og forsvarsevne: Hva kan vi lære fra Ukraina?

Hva skaper forsvarsvilje og hvordan vedlikeholdes den? Russlands angrepskrig i Ukraina og hvordan Ukraina har maktet å stå imot gir oss et unikt vindu for å undersøke og forstå disse spørsmålene. I denne rapporten benyttes nylig innsamlede data fra Ukraina for å kartlegge og forstå grunnlaget for Ukrainas forsvarsvilje. Dette gjennomgås i rapportens første del. I den andre delen brukes dataene fra Ukraina til å diskutere hva dette innebærer for norsk forsvarsvilje. Hvilke av erfaringene og lærdommene fra Ukraina er relevante for Norge? Hva er grunnlaget for norsk forsvarsvilje og hvilke utfordringer står Norge ovenfor når forsvarsviljen ikke bare må opprettholdes, men også styrkes?

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Conflict
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • Europe
  • Conflict
Event
13:40 - 16:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
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Event
13:40 - 16:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
15. Sept 2026
Event
13:40 - 16:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk

Resilience and resistance in times of war

What are people willing to do, and to accept, when war becomes everyday life? This seminar will look closer at civilian resilience in Ukraine and what Total Defence will ask of Norway.

Event
15:30 - 17:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
Event
15:30 - 17:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
10. Sept 2026
Event
15:30 - 17:00 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk

NATO 3.0 and the role of Ukraine

The European pillar in NATO is strengthened as US is gradually withdrawing its support to security on the continent. What part will Ukraine play?

Publications
Publications
Policy brief
John Karlsrud, Yf Reykers

From spending to delivery: Coalition-based governance to scale Europe’s defence industry at speed

Europe’s defence landscape is entering a new and decisive phase – not only in spending, but in how spending is translated into capability. After years of underinvestment, governments are now committing resources at levels once deemed politically impossible, driven by Russia's threat and shifting US priorities. In this brief, we argue that the current model underpinning European defence procurement, production and innovation is ill-suited to a rapidly evolving threat landscape. Instead, Europe needs a governance model built for speed, flexibility and scale.

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Europe
  • The EU
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  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Europe
  • The EU
Articles
Analysis
Articles
Analysis

Four years of attritional warfare: How NUPI has contributed knowledge on Ukraine and European security

  • Defence
  • Security policy
  • NATO
  • Diplomacy
  • Foreign policy
  • Europe
  • Russia and Eurasia
  • Humanitarian issues
  • Conflict
  • The EU
Volodomyr Zelenskyy inspiserer ødelagt leilighetsbygg aug 2025 Kyiv .jpg
Event
10:00 - 11:45 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
NTB_uFZq6_vkr30_Zelensky og Trump i WhiteHouse.jpg
Event
10:00 - 11:45 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk
13. Mar 2026
Event
10:00 - 11:45 Europe/Oslo
NUPI, Rosenkrantz' gate 22, OSLO
Engelsk

New frontiers of diplomacy: Building relationships with uncomfortable actors in a changing world

What constitutes effective and reliable diplomacy in today's world?

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