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Indra Øverland

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Indra Øverland leder Senter for energiforskning på NUPI og er Associate Fellow ved Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

Han forsker på energispørsmål i Sydøst-Asia og Sentral-Asia, særlig Indonesia og Myanmar. Han begynte å jobbe med Sydøst-Asia i 1992, var langtidsobservatør i Kambodsja for Joint International Observer Group (JIOG), ledet samarbeidet med Chulalongkorn-universitetet, Myanmar Institute for Strategic and International Studies (MISIS), og OSSE-akademiet, og har vært gjesteforsker på ASEAN Center for Energy (ACE) i to perioder.

Indra Øverland er medforfatter av den 6. hovedrapporten til FNs klimapanel (IPCC); har publisert en artikkel i tidsskriftet Nature Energy; har blitt tildelt Marcel Cadieux-prisen, Toby Jackman-prisen, Kjetil Stuland-prisen og Kemp’s Best in Energy (Reuters) og har blitt ranger blant de 300 mest publiserende norske forskerne og den niende mest fulgte norske forskeren i sosiale medier.

Han er en aktiv formidler og er intervjuet eller sitert av Al Jazeera, Associated Press, BBC World Service, Berlingske, Bloomberg, CBC, CNN, de Volkskrant, El País, Forbes, Financial Times, Helsingin Sanomat, Het Financieele Dagblad, Hokkaido Shimbun, Le Monde, Le Point, MSN, Newsweek, Politico, Rzeczpospolita, The Economist, The Guardian, The Japan Times, The Straits Times, The New York Times, The Telegraph, Times Literary Supplement, Toronto Star, Tribune de Geneve, Vietnam+, Wall Street China, Wall Street Journal, 24 Heures.

Hans forskning inkluderer “ASEAN’s energy transition: how to attract more investment in renewable energy”, (Energy, Ecology and Environment, 2023), “Integrating 100% renewable energy into electricity systems: A net-zero analysis for Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar” (Energy Reports, 2023), “Moving beyond the NDCs: ASEAN pathways to a net-zero emissions power sector in 2050” (Applied Energy, 2022), “The ASEAN climate and energy paradox” (Energy and Climate Change, 2021), “Environmental performance of foreign firms: Chinese and Japanese firms in Myanmar”, Journal of Cleaner Production, 2021), “Vietnam's solar and wind power success: Policy implications for the other ASEAN countries” (Energy for Sustainable Development, 2021), “Sharing the Spoils: Winners and Losers in the Belt and Road Initiative in Myanmar”, Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 2020), “Local and global aspects of coal in the ASEAN Countries” (Handbook of Sustainable Politics and Economics of Natural Resources, 2020), The 6th ASEAN Energy Outlook” (ACE, 2020), “Impact of Climate Change on ASEAN International Affairs: Risk and Opportunity Multiplier” (NUPI 2017).

Ekspertise

  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Asia
  • Klima
  • Energi

Utdanning

2000 PhD, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Geography, University of Cambridge

Aktivitet

Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

The new oil? The geopolitics and international governance of hydrogen

While most hydrogen research focuses on the technical and cost hurdles to a full-scale hydrogen economy, little consideration has been given to the geopolitical drivers and consequences of hydrogen developments. The technologies and infrastructures underpinning a hydrogen economy can take markedly different forms, and the choice over which pathway to take is the object of competition between different stakeholders and countries. Over time, cross-border maritime trade in hydrogen has the potential to fundamentally redraw the geography of global energy trade, create a new class of energy exporters, and reshape geopolitical relations and alliances between countries. International governance and investments to scale up hydrogen value chains could reduce the risk of market fragmentation, carbon lock-in, and intensified geo-economic rivalry.

  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Klima
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
kapittel

Russian Renewable Energy: Regulations and outcomes

This chapter reviews the development of the legal framework for renewable energy in Russia and discusses the current state of renewable energy in the country. The Russian support scheme for renewable energy is elaborated in detail for both the wholesale and retail energy markets, and the outcomes of the policy are assessed based on the current state of renewable energy in Russia.

  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Klima
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

The geopolitics of renewables: New board, new game

This policy perspective sums up the main input of four members of the Research Panel for IRENA's Global Commission on the Geopolitics of the Energy Transformation. The geographic and technical characteristics of renewable energy systems are fundamentally different from those of coal, oil, and natural gas. This has implications for interstate energy relations and will require early attention if states are to exploit opportunities and address challenges. We point to six clusters of renewables' geopolitical implications that will manifest themselves over different time horizons. Overall, a generally positive disruption is foreseen, but also one that raises new energy security challenges. Moreover, while renewables will eventually render energy relations more horizontal and polycentric, achieving a smooth transition will not be easy. Renewables alter arenas of energy interaction, transforming markets and shifting trade partners, and reshape patterns of cooperation and conflict among countries. One possible outcome is a world of continental-sized grid communities made up of prosumer countries that continuously strategize between secure domestic production and cheap imports. Political action is required to manage, inter alia, industrial competition, stranded assets, availability of electricity and storage capacity, critical materials, and rivalry over ownership of key infrastructure assets.

  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Klima
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

The missallocation of climate research funding

The window of opportunity for mitigating climate change is narrow. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will require rapid and deep alteration of attitudes, norms, incentives, and politics. Some of the key climate-change and energy transition puzzles are therefore in the realm of the social sciences. However, these are precisely the fields that receive least funding for climate-related research. This article analyzes a new dataset of research grants from 333 donors around the world spanning 4.3 million awards with a cumulative value of USD 1.3 trillion from 1950 to 2021. Between 1990 and 2018, the natural and technical sciences received 770% more funding than the social sciences for research on issues related to climate change. Only 0.12% of all research funding was spent on the social science of climate mitigation.

  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Klima
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

Renewable energy and geopolitics: A review

Denne artikkelen gir oversikt over faglitteraturen om fornybar energi og geopolitikk. Den finner at litteraturen strekker seg bakover helt til 1970-tallet. Følgende konklusjoner distillieres fra litteraturen: fornybar energi har mange fordeler over fossil energi for internasjonal sikkerhet og fred; men fornybar energi øker risikoen for spenning knyttet til kritiske materialer og kybersikkerhet; tidligere olje- og gasseksportører vil være de største taperne fra en overgang til fornybar energi.

  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Cyber
  • Utenrikspolitikk
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Energi
  • Sikkerhetspolitikk
  • Cyber
  • Utenrikspolitikk
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition

This article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, governance, and conflict. Some of these represent potential gains; some represent losses; and some the capacity of countries to handle changes in geopolitical strength. Five alternative versions of the index are developed to work out the optimal design. First, the energy resource indicators are combined with equal weights to create two simple versions of the index. Next, governance and conflict indicators are included to create three more complex versions of the index. The index provides useful pointers for strategic energy and foreign policy choices: geopolitical power will be more evenly distributed after an energy transition; Iceland will gain most; Russia may be one of the main holders of stranded geopolitical assets; China and the USA will lose more geopolitically than foreseen by other analyses. The index also indicates a lack of emphasis in parts of the literature on space for renewable energy infrastructure and on domestically sourced coal for the current strength of countries such as China and the United States.

  • Utenrikspolitikk
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
  • Afrika
  • Asia
  • Nord-Amerika
  • Sør- og Mellom-Amerika
  • Arktis
  • Norden
  • Oseania
  • Konflikt
  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Styring
  • Utenrikspolitikk
  • Europa
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Midtøsten og Nord-Afrika
  • Afrika
  • Asia
  • Nord-Amerika
  • Sør- og Mellom-Amerika
  • Arktis
  • Norden
  • Oseania
  • Konflikt
  • Klima
  • Energi
  • Styring
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

Reyting gotovnosti k peremenam: Sposobny li rossiyskiye neftyanye kompanii adaptirovatsya k novym realiyam mirovykh energeticheskikh rynkov

Er russiske oljeselskaper i stand til å tilpasse seg til den nye virkeligheten i internasjonale energimarkeder?

  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Energi
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Energi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Vitenskapelig artikkel

Algorithm for Producing Rankings Based on Expert Surveys

This paper develops an automated algorithm to process input data for segmented string relative rankings (SSRRs). The purpose of the SSRR methodology is to create rankings of countries, companies, or any other units based on surveys of expert opinion. This is done without the use of grading systems, which can distort the results due to varying degrees of strictness among experts. However, the original SSRR approach relies on manual application, which is highly laborious and also carries a risk of human error. This paper seeks to solve this problem by further developing the SSRR approach by employing link analysis, which is based on network theory and is similar to the PageRank algorithm used by the Google search engine. The ranking data are treated as part of a linear, hierarchical network and each unit receives a score according to how many units are positioned below it in the network. This approach makes it possible to efficiently resolve contradictions among experts providing input for a ranking. A hypertext preprocessor (PHP) script for the algorithm is included in the article’s appendix. The proposed methodology is suitable for use across a range of social science disciplines, especially economics, sociology, and political science.

  • Internasjonal økonomi
  • Internasjonal økonomi
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Rapport

BRI in Central Asia: People-to-People Projects

Along with financing hard infrastructure projects, Beijing also promotes soft power projects in the form of people-to-people initiatives. However, such projects are low priority within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Central Asia. The Confucius Institutes, which appear to be an important vehicle for Chinese soft power in the region, are not directly linked to BRI and were launched before and independently of BRI.

  • Diplomati
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Asia
  • Diplomati
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Asia
Publikasjoner
Publikasjoner
Rapport

BRI in Central Asia: Agriculture and Food Projects

This data article looks at Chinese investment in agriculture and food production in Central Asia. It shows that the agricultural sector projects have low priority within the Belt and Road Initiative. Kazakhstan is the biggest recipient of Chinese investment in agriculture and food projects in Central Asia.

  • Internasjonal økonomi
  • Handel
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Asia
  • Internasjonal økonomi
  • Handel
  • Russland og Eurasia
  • Asia
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